Platense vs Firpo preview
In the match between Platense and Firpo, the 1X2 probabilities show Firpo at 54% to win, while Platense is at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance of occurring. Both teams have shown strong recent form, with Platense winning 3 of their last 6 matches, while Firpo has 4 wins in their last 6.
The model suggests a 57% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for both teams to score. However, Platense's expected goals are only 1.11 compared to Firpo's 1.87, indicating that if Platense struggles to convert chances, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
Platense vs Firpo: model vs market
| Source | Platense | Draw | Firpo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Published | 24% | 26% | 51% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Platense vs Firpo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Firpo, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 3.89 | 3.70 | -0.19 |
| Draw | 3.37 | 3.50 | +0.13 |
| Firpo | 1.84 | 1.82 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Platense and Firpo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.98
- Attack rating (Platense / Firpo)
- 1.16 / 1.37
- Defence rating (Platense / Firpo)
- 1.06 / 0.70
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Platense vs Firpo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Platense goals. Columns: Firpo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Platense vs Firpo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Platense vs Firpo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 24% | 4.23 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 | |
| Firpo | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Platense or draw) | 49% | 2.03 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Firpo) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win by 2+ | 32% | 3.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Platense and Firpo recent form
Platense
3W 1D 2L
Firpo
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Platense at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
- They have won 6 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 16 matches.
Firpo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 15 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Platense at home only, Firpo away only.
Platense vs Firpo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Platense 0 · draws 1 · Firpo 9.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Firpo | 1-0 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2026-04-12 | Platense | 0-1 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2026-02-15 | Firpo | 3-1 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-30 | Firpo | 6-2 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-23 | Platense | 0-2 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-10-26 | Platense | 1-3 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-08-24 | Firpo | 0-0 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2025-03-16 | Firpo | 2-0 | Platense | Primera Division |
| 2025-01-19 | Platense | 1-2 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2024-10-17 | Platense | 0-2 | Firpo | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
- Inca Aruba vs Inter — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Alianza vs Isidro Metapán — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Águila vs FAS 2026-10-24
- Municipal Limeño v Cacahuatique — match page 2026-10-25
- Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Platense, previous: FAS – Platense, 2026-10-18
- Platense, next: Inter vs Platense prediction
- Firpo, previous: Firpo vs Inca Aruba: odds and pick