Preston vs Sheffield Utd preview
In the Championship fixture between Preston and Sheffield Utd, the 1X2 probabilities show Sheffield Utd at 51% compared to Preston's 24%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Preston's expected goals of 0.78 and Sheffield Utd's 1.74.
Preston's recent form includes 4 losses and only 1 draw, while Sheffield Utd has won 3 of their last 6 matches. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 46%, indicating a potential for low-scoring. However, if Preston improves their performance or if Sheffield Utd underperforms, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: model vs market
| Source | Preston | Draw | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 26% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Published | 23% | 26% | 51% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sheffield Utd below our published probability: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Preston vs Sheffield Utd odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sheffield Utd, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-30.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 2.88 | 3.77 | +0.90 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.58 | -0.02 |
| Sheffield Utd | 2.30 | 1.95 | -0.35 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Preston and Sheffield Utd expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.51
- Attack rating (Preston / Sheffield Utd)
- 0.63 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Preston / Sheffield Utd)
- 1.47 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Preston goals. Columns: Sheffield Utd goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Preston vs Sheffield Utd
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preston | 23% | 4.42 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Sheffield Utd | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Preston or draw) | 49% | 2.05 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Sheffield Utd) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Utd win by 2+ | 34% | 2.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Preston and Sheffield Utd recent form
Preston
0W 2D 4L
Sheffield Utd
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Preston at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
Sheffield Utd away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Preston at home only, Sheffield Utd away only.
Injuries & availability
Preston absences
-
A. McCann
hamstring injury
- H. Clarke knee injury
- L. Gibbs muscle injury
- L. Gibson inactive
Sheffield Utd absences
- A. Davies inactive
- J. Rothwell inactive
- J. Shackleton health problems
- K. Phillips inactive
- L. Kitching yellow cards
- M. Doherty injury
- P. Bamford inactive
-
R. One
inactive
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Preston 2 · draws 3 · Sheffield Utd 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sheffield Utd | 2-3 | Preston | England Championship |
| 2025-10-24 | Preston | 3-2 | Sheffield Utd | England Championship |
| 2025-03-08 | Sheffield Utd | 1-0 | Preston | Championship |
| 2024-08-09 | Preston | 0-2 | Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| 2023-04-29 | Sheffield Utd | 4-1 | Preston | Championship |
| 2022-09-17 | Preston | 0-2 | Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| 2022-01-18 | Preston | 2-2 | Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| 2021-09-14 | Sheffield Utd | 2-2 | Preston | Championship |
| 2020-09-04 | Sheffield Utd | 2-2 | Preston | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2019-04-06 | Preston | 0-1 | Sheffield Utd | Championship |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
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- Blackburn vs Stoke City 2026-11-03
- Derby v Norwich — match page 2026-11-03
- QPR vs Burnley — team news & stats 2026-11-03
- Charlton vs Bolton 2026-11-03
- Portsmouth v Swansea — match page 2026-11-03
- Birmingham v Millwall — match page 2026-11-03
- West Brom vs Southampton — team news & stats 2026-11-03
Before and after this match
- Preston, previous: Stoke City vs Preston: odds and pick
- Preston, next: Preston vs Southampton prediction
- Sheffield Utd, previous: Sheffield Utd – Wrexham, 2026-10-30
- Sheffield Utd, next: Charlton vs Sheffield Utd prediction