Bromley vs Leicester preview
In the fixture between Bromley and Leicester, the 1X2 probabilities show Bromley at 39%, Leicester at 36%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Bromley, with a 9% chance. The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.
Bromley's expected goals stand at 1.65, while Leicester's is slightly lower at 1.57. Recent form indicates Bromley has struggled, with 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Leicester has been more consistent with 2 wins and 2 draws. These factors could influence the outcome, especially if Bromley's form continues to falter.
Bromley vs Leicester: model vs market
| Source | Bromley | Draw | Leicester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bromley and Leicester expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (Bromley / Leicester)
- 0.92 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Bromley / Leicester)
- 1.43 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bromley vs Leicester score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bromley goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bromley vs Leicester goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bromley vs Leicester
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bromley | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Leicester | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bromley or draw) | 64% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Leicester) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bromley win by 2+ | 20% | 4.93 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Bromley and Leicester recent form
Bromley
1W 1D 4L
Leicester
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bromley at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leicester away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bromley at home only, Leicester away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Peterborough 2026-10-20
- Burton Albion v Bradford — match page 2026-10-20
- AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town — team news & stats 2026-10-20
- Oxford United vs Wigan 2026-10-20
- Doncaster v Stockport County — match page 2026-10-20
- Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats 2026-10-20
- Luton vs Barnsley 2026-10-20
- Stevenage v Plymouth — match page 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Bromley, previous: Stockport County v Bromley analysis
- Leicester, previous: Leicester v Doncaster analysis