Doncaster vs Stockport County preview
In the League One fixture between Doncaster and Stockport County, the 1X2 probabilities show Stockport County at 40% to win, compared to Doncaster's 32%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2, with Stockport County expected to score 1.46 goals and Doncaster 1.29.
Both teams to score stands at 57%, suggesting that both sides may find the net. However, Doncaster's recent form includes only 2 wins in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. Stockport County has a better head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 encounters, which adds another layer of uncertainty to the match outcome.
Doncaster vs Stockport County: model vs market
| Source | Doncaster | Draw | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Doncaster and Stockport County expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.75
- Attack rating (Doncaster / Stockport County)
- 0.94 / 1.37
- Defence rating (Doncaster / Stockport County)
- 0.90 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Doncaster vs Stockport County score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Doncaster goals. Columns: Stockport County goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Doncaster vs Stockport County goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Doncaster vs Stockport County
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doncaster | 32% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Stockport County | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Doncaster or draw) | 60% | 1.67 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Stockport County) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win by 2+ | 20% | 5.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Doncaster and Stockport County recent form
Doncaster
2W 2D 2L
Stockport County
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Doncaster at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stockport County away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Doncaster at home only, Stockport County away only.
Doncaster vs Stockport County head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Doncaster 0 · draws 1 · Stockport County 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Stockport County | 1-1 | Doncaster | League Cup |
| 2025-12-29 | Stockport County | 4-2 | Doncaster | League One |
| 2025-12-09 | Doncaster | 0-2 | Stockport County | League One |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Luton vs Barnsley 2026-10-20
- Stevenage v Plymouth — match page 2026-10-20
- Cambridge United vs Wycombe — team news & stats 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Doncaster, previous: Leicester v Doncaster analysis
- Stockport County, previous: Stockport County v Bromley analysis