Updated

League One · Matchday 11

Stockport County vs Bromley

· Edgeley Park, Stockport

Alin prediction Stockport County to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Stockport CountyDrawBromley
Best market odds
Stockport County1.26 Draw6.39 Bromley12.00
Bet on Stockport County

Stockport County vs Bromley preview

In the League One fixture between Stockport County and Bromley, the 1X2 probabilities show Stockport County at 75%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. Stockport County has an expected goals figure of 2.90, while Bromley sits at 1.01. This suggests a strong attacking performance from Stockport County.

However, there are factors that could affect this outcome. Both teams to score stands at 61%, indicating a chance for Bromley to find the net. Additionally, Stockport's recent form includes two losses, which could impact their confidence. With a confidence grade of C, the match could be closer than the numbers suggest.

Stockport County vs Bromley: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceStockport CountyDrawBromley
Model75%15%10%
Market75%16%9%
Published75%15%9%
Edge0%-1%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 1.01.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.26, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.

Stockport County vs Bromley odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Stockport County, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 1.22Now 1.23 +0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Stockport County1.221.23+0.01
Draw6.005.90-0.10
Bromley10.8010.00-0.80

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Stockport County and Bromley expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.90Stockport County
1.01Bromley
Total expected goals
3.91
Attack rating (Stockport County / Bromley)
1.37 / 0.92
Defence rating (Stockport County / Bromley)
0.92 / 1.43

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Stockport County vs Bromley score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 1 5.2% 6.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 2 8.4% 8.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.5% 3 8.2% 8.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 4+ 12.1% 12.2% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6%

Rows: Stockport County goals. Columns: Bromley goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Stockport County vs Bromley goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 75%
Over 3.5 55%
Both teams to score
61%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Stockport County vs Bromley

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Stockport County75%1.33
Draw15%6.47
Bromley9%10.75
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575%1.34
Under 2.525%3.98
Both teams to scoreYes61%1.65
No39%2.54
Double chance1X (Stockport County or draw)91%1.10
12 (either side)85%1.18
X2 (draw or Bromley)25%4.04
Handicap -1Stockport County win by 2+56%1.77
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Stockport County and Bromley recent form

Stockport County 3W 1D 2L
Bromley 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Stockport County at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.60
Goals against / match
1.60
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Bromley away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
2.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Stockport County at home only, Bromley away only.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Stockport County to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Stockport County