Leyton Orient vs Blackpool preview
In the League One fixture between Leyton Orient and Blackpool, the 1X2 probabilities show Leyton Orient at 44%, while Blackpool stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. Leyton Orient has an expected goals figure of 1.59, compared to Blackpool's 1.24, suggesting a slight edge for the home side.
However, Leyton Orient's recent form includes 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Blackpool has 1 win in the same period. Both teams to score has a probability of 58%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 54%. This means that while Leyton Orient may be favored, inconsistent performances could lead to unexpected results.
Leyton Orient vs Blackpool: model vs market
| Source | Leyton Orient | Draw | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 30% |
| Published | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.24.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Leyton Orient vs Blackpool odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Leyton Orient, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 2.20 | 2.13 | -0.07 |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.52 | +0.00 |
| Blackpool | 2.98 | 3.05 | +0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Leyton Orient and Blackpool expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.84
- Attack rating (Leyton Orient / Blackpool)
- 0.89 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Leyton Orient / Blackpool)
- 0.96 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Leyton Orient vs Blackpool score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Leyton Orient goals. Columns: Blackpool goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Leyton Orient vs Blackpool goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Leyton Orient vs Blackpool
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leyton Orient | 44% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Blackpool | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Leyton Orient or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Blackpool) | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | Leyton Orient win by 2+ | 23% | 4.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Leyton Orient and Blackpool recent form
Leyton Orient
1W 2D 3L
Blackpool
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leyton Orient at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Blackpool away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Leyton Orient at home only, Blackpool away only.
Leyton Orient vs Blackpool head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Leyton Orient 0 · draws 1 · Blackpool 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Blackpool | 1-0 | Leyton Orient | League One |
| 2025-11-22 | Leyton Orient | 1-1 | Blackpool | League One |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Leicester vs Doncaster 2026-10-17
- Wigan v Reading — match page 2026-10-17
- Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Barnsley vs Cambridge United 2026-10-17
- Bradford v Stevenage — match page 2026-10-17
- Plymouth vs Huddersfield — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Wycombe vs Notts County 2026-10-17
- Stockport County vs Bromley — team news & stats 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Leyton Orient, previous: Bradford vs Leyton Orient: odds and pick
- Blackpool, previous: Cambridge United vs Blackpool prediction
- Blackpool, next: Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction