Wycombe vs Notts County preview
In the League One fixture between Wycombe and Notts County, the 1X2 probabilities show Wycombe at 40%, Notts County at 34%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model.
The expected goals are 1.59 for Wycombe and 1.46 for Notts County, suggesting a competitive match. There is a 59% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance for both teams to score. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating that unexpected results are possible, which could affect these predictions.
Wycombe vs Notts County: model vs market
| Source | Wycombe | Draw | Notts County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Published | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Edge | -6% | -1% | +7% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Wycombe vs Notts County odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Wycombe, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wycombe | 2.02 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.44 | 3.42 | -0.02 |
| Notts County | 3.42 | 3.42 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Wycombe and Notts County expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.05
- Attack rating (Wycombe / Notts County)
- 1.18 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Wycombe / Notts County)
- 1.54 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wycombe vs Notts County score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wycombe goals. Columns: Notts County goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wycombe vs Notts County goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wycombe vs Notts County
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Notts County | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wycombe or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Notts County) | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wycombe win by 2+ | 20% | 4.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Wycombe and Notts County recent form
Wycombe
2W 2D 2L
Notts County
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wycombe at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Notts County away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wycombe at home only, Notts County away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Leicester vs Doncaster 2026-10-17
- Wigan v Reading — match page 2026-10-17
- Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Barnsley vs Cambridge United 2026-10-17
- Bradford v Stevenage — match page 2026-10-17
- Plymouth vs Huddersfield — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Leyton Orient v Blackpool — match page 2026-10-17
- Stockport County vs Bromley — team news & stats 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Wycombe, previous: Wycombe v Luton analysis
- Wycombe, next: Cambridge United vs Wycombe: odds and pick
- Notts County, previous: Notts County vs Oxford United prediction
- Notts County, next: Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction