Plymouth vs Huddersfield preview
Plymouth faces Huddersfield with a 48% chance to win compared to Huddersfield's 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. Both teams have shown strong attacking potential, with Plymouth expected to score 1.91 goals and Huddersfield 1.44. The model indicates a 65% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance for both teams to score.
However, the recent form suggests unpredictability. Plymouth has won 5 of their last 6 matches, while Huddersfield has a mixed record with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 6. This could lead to a different outcome than the model predicts, especially considering their recent head-to-head results, which are split evenly with 1 win each.
Plymouth vs Huddersfield: model vs market
| Source | Plymouth | Draw | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 38% |
| Published | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Edge | +13% | -2% | -10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.44.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Plymouth below the model: +12.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.72, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Plymouth vs Huddersfield odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Plymouth, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 2.67 | 2.64 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.50 | +0.00 |
| Huddersfield | 2.45 | 2.41 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Plymouth and Huddersfield expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.35
- Attack rating (Plymouth / Huddersfield)
- 1.33 / 1.29
- Defence rating (Plymouth / Huddersfield)
- 0.94 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Plymouth vs Huddersfield score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Plymouth goals. Columns: Huddersfield goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Plymouth vs Huddersfield goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Plymouth vs Huddersfield
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plymouth | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Huddersfield | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Plymouth or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Huddersfield) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Plymouth win by 2+ | 28% | 3.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Plymouth and Huddersfield recent form
Plymouth
5W 0D 1L
Huddersfield
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Plymouth at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Huddersfield away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Plymouth at home only, Huddersfield away only.
Plymouth vs Huddersfield head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Plymouth 1 · draws 0 · Huddersfield 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Plymouth | 3-1 | Huddersfield | League One |
| 2025-11-08 | Huddersfield | 3-1 | Plymouth | League One |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Leicester vs Doncaster 2026-10-17
- Wigan v Reading — match page 2026-10-17
- Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Barnsley vs Cambridge United 2026-10-17
- Bradford v Stevenage — match page 2026-10-17
- Wycombe vs Notts County 2026-10-17
- Leyton Orient v Blackpool — match page 2026-10-17
- Stockport County vs Bromley — team news & stats 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Plymouth, previous: Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon: odds and pick
- Plymouth, next: Stevenage v Plymouth analysis
- Huddersfield, previous: Huddersfield – Sheffield Wednesday, 2026-10-10
- Huddersfield, next: Huddersfield vs Peterborough: odds and pick