Huddersfield vs Leicester preview
Huddersfield faces Leicester with a 56% probability of winning, while both teams are at 22% for a draw or Leicester victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. Huddersfield has shown strong recent form with 5 wins in their last 6 matches, while Leicester has 4 wins in their last 6.
The model also suggests a high likelihood of goals, with 70% for Over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty. If Leicester's defense improves or Huddersfield's attack falters, the expected goals of 2.24 for Huddersfield and 1.38 for Leicester could change the match dynamics.
Huddersfield vs Leicester: model vs market
| Source | Huddersfield | Draw | Leicester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.38.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Huddersfield and Leicester expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.62
- Attack rating (Huddersfield / Leicester)
- 1.34 / 1.45
- Defence rating (Huddersfield / Leicester)
- 0.81 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Huddersfield vs Leicester score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Huddersfield goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Huddersfield vs Leicester goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Huddersfield vs Leicester
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huddersfield | 56% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.61 | |
| Leicester | 22% | 4.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Huddersfield or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Leicester) | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | Huddersfield win by 2+ | 35% | 2.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Huddersfield and Leicester recent form
Huddersfield
4W 1D 1L
Leicester
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Huddersfield at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-0
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leicester away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Huddersfield at home only, Leicester away only.
Huddersfield vs Leicester head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Huddersfield 0 · draws 1 · Leicester 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-13 | Huddersfield | 2-2 | Leicester | League Cup |
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Before and after this match
- Huddersfield, previous: Wycombe v Huddersfield analysis
- Leicester, previous: Leicester vs Bradford: odds and pick
- Leicester, next: Dover v Leicester analysis