Amnéville vs Sundhoffen preview
In the Coupe de France fixture between Amnéville and Sundhoffen, the 1X2 probabilities show Sundhoffen at 53%, while Amnéville sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which has a 10% chance of occurring. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both predicted at 61%, indicating potential for an open game.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. If Amnéville can exceed their expected goals of 1.23, they might challenge Sundhoffen, who has a higher expected goal count of 1.93. This could lead to a different result than anticipated.
Amnéville vs Sundhoffen: model vs market
| Source | Amnéville | Draw | Sundhoffen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.23.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Amnéville and Sundhoffen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.15
- Attack rating (Amnéville / Sundhoffen)
- 1.00 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Amnéville / Sundhoffen)
- 1.00 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Amnéville vs Sundhoffen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Amnéville goals. Columns: Sundhoffen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Amnéville vs Sundhoffen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Amnéville vs Sundhoffen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amnéville | 23% | 4.32 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Sundhoffen | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Amnéville or draw) | 47% | 2.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Sundhoffen) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sundhoffen win by 2+ | 31% | 3.22 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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