Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury Prediction & Betting Tips 06/11/2026

Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury preview

In the Coupe de France match between Olympique Cayenne and Etoile Matoury, the 1X2 probabilities show a 30% chance for Olympique Cayenne, a 25% chance for a draw, and a 46% chance for Etoile Matoury. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability.

The model suggests a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%. However, the recent form of Etoile Matoury, with a record of D-L-L, could impact their performance. Olympique Cayenne's recent form is not available, which adds uncertainty to the match outcome.

Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Olympique Cayenne	Draw	Etoile Matoury
Model	30%	25%	46%
Market	—	—	—
Published	30%	25%	46%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.44.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Olympique Cayenne and Etoile Matoury expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.44Olympique Cayenne

1.82Etoile Matoury

Total expected goals: 3.25
Attack rating (Olympique Cayenne / Etoile Matoury): 1.00 / 0.94
Defence rating (Olympique Cayenne / Etoile Matoury): 1.00 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.9% 6.0% 6.4% 3.9% 2.6% 1 4.5% 11.1% 9.2% 5.5% 3.8% 2 4.0% 7.3% 6.6% 4.0% 2.7% 3 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 1.9% 1.3% 4+ 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.6%

Rows: Olympique Cayenne goals. Columns: Etoile Matoury goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 85%

Over 2.5 63%

Over 3.5 41%

Both teams to score: 65%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Olympique Cayenne	30%	3.37
	Draw	25%	4.03
	Etoile Matoury	46%	2.20
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63%	1.58
	Under 2.5	37%	2.71
Both teams to score	Yes	65%	1.54
	No	35%	2.85
Double chance	1X (Olympique Cayenne or draw)	54%	1.84
	12 (either side)	75%	1.33
	X2 (draw or Etoile Matoury)	70%	1.42
Handicap -1	Etoile Matoury win by 2+	25%	3.94
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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