AFAvenir Foot Lozère vs ECEntente Crest-Aouste

Avenir Foot Lozère vs Entente Crest-Aouste: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.23.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Avenir Foot Lozère and Entente Crest-Aouste expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

3.15

Attack rating (Avenir Foot Lozère / Entente Crest-Aouste)

1.00 / 1.00

Defence rating (Avenir Foot Lozère / Entente Crest-Aouste)

1.00 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Avenir Foot Lozère vs Entente Crest-Aouste score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: Avenir Foot Lozère goals. Columns: Entente Crest-Aouste goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Avenir Foot Lozère vs Entente Crest-Aouste goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

61%

No goals (0–0)

5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.