Boulazac vs Anglet Genets Prediction & Betting Tips 14/11/2026

Boulazac vs Anglet Genets preview

In the Coupe de France match between Boulazac and Anglet Genets, the 1X2 probabilities show Anglet Genets at 53%, while Boulazac sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance according to our model.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 61%. Boulazac has expected goals of 1.23, while Anglet Genets has 1.93. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. If Boulazac performs better than expected, it could impact the outcome significantly.

Boulazac vs Anglet Genets: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Boulazac	Draw	Anglet Genets
Model	23%	24%	53%
Market	—	—	—
Published	23%	24%	53%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.23.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Boulazac and Anglet Genets expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.23Boulazac

1.93Anglet Genets

Total expected goals: 3.15
Attack rating (Boulazac / Anglet Genets): 1.00 / 1.00
Defence rating (Boulazac / Anglet Genets): 1.00 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Boulazac vs Anglet Genets score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.3% 7.2% 7.9% 5.1% 3.8% 1 4.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.2% 4.7% 2 3.2% 6.2% 6.0% 3.8% 2.9% 3 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.6% 1.2% 4+ 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5%

Rows: Boulazac goals. Columns: Anglet Genets goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Boulazac vs Anglet Genets goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 83%

Over 2.5 61%

Over 3.5 39%

Both teams to score: 61%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Boulazac vs Anglet Genets

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Boulazac	23%	4.32
	Draw	24%	4.14
	Anglet Genets	53%	1.90
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61%	1.64
	Under 2.5	39%	2.57
Both teams to score	Yes	61%	1.63
	No	39%	2.59
Double chance	1X (Boulazac or draw)	47%	2.11
	12 (either side)	76%	1.32
	X2 (draw or Anglet Genets)	77%	1.30
Handicap -1	Anglet Genets win by 2+	31%	3.22
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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