Cournon vs Chassieu Décines Prediction & Betting Tips 14/11/2026

Cournon vs Chassieu Décines preview

In the Coupe de France, Cournon faces Chassieu Décines with 23% and 53% probabilities to win, respectively. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.23 for Cournon and 1.93 for Chassieu Décines.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 61%, indicating a strong chance of an open game. However, if Cournon can exceed their expected goals, they could challenge Chassieu Décines' advantage. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.

Cournon vs Chassieu Décines: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Cournon	Draw	Chassieu Décines
Model	23%	24%	53%
Market	—	—	—
Published	23%	24%	53%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.23.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Cournon and Chassieu Décines expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.23Cournon

1.93Chassieu Décines

Total expected goals: 3.15
Attack rating (Cournon / Chassieu Décines): 1.00 / 1.00
Defence rating (Cournon / Chassieu Décines): 1.00 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Cournon vs Chassieu Décines score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.3% 7.2% 7.9% 5.1% 3.8% 1 4.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.2% 4.7% 2 3.2% 6.2% 6.0% 3.8% 2.9% 3 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.6% 1.2% 4+ 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5%

Rows: Cournon goals. Columns: Chassieu Décines goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Cournon vs Chassieu Décines goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 83%

Over 2.5 61%

Over 3.5 39%

Both teams to score: 61%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Cournon vs Chassieu Décines

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Cournon	23%	4.32
	Draw	24%	4.14
	Chassieu Décines	53%	1.90
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61%	1.64
	Under 2.5	39%	2.57
Both teams to score	Yes	61%	1.63
	No	39%	2.59
Double chance	1X (Cournon or draw)	47%	2.11
	12 (either side)	76%	1.32
	X2 (draw or Chassieu Décines)	77%	1.30
Handicap -1	Chassieu Décines win by 2+	31%	3.22
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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