Updated

Coupe de France · 1/128-finals

Koetzingue vs Biesheim

Alin prediction Biesheim to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KoetzingueDrawBiesheim
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.31.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Koetzingue vs Biesheim preview

In the Coupe de France match between Koetzingue and Biesheim, the 1X2 probabilities show Biesheim at 46% to win, compared to Koetzingue's 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with Biesheim expected to score 1.71 goals while Koetzingue is projected at 1.31.

Both teams to score stands at 61%, and there is a 58% chance of Over 2.5 goals. However, Koetzingue's recent form is not available, which could impact their performance. Biesheim's recent results include a loss, draw, win, and another draw, indicating some inconsistency.

Koetzingue vs Biesheim: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKoetzingueDrawBiesheim
Model28%26%46%
Market———
Published28%26%46%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.31.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Koetzingue and Biesheim expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.31Koetzingue
1.71Biesheim
Total expected goals
3.02
Attack rating (Koetzingue / Biesheim)
1.00 / 0.89
Defence rating (Koetzingue / Biesheim)
1.00 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Koetzingue vs Biesheim score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.0% 7.2% 7.1% 4.1% 2.6% 1 5.3% 12.0% 9.3% 5.3% 3.3% 2 4.2% 7.2% 6.1% 3.5% 2.2% 3 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.5% 1.0% 4+ 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4%

Rows: Koetzingue goals. Columns: Biesheim goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Koetzingue vs Biesheim goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 36%
Both teams to score
61%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Koetzingue vs Biesheim

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Koetzingue28%3.53
Draw26%3.87
Biesheim46%2.18
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558%1.72
Under 2.542%2.39
Both teams to scoreYes61%1.64
No39%2.56
Double chance1X (Koetzingue or draw)54%1.84
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Biesheim)72%1.40
Handicap -1Biesheim win by 2+25%4.01
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Koetzingue and Biesheim recent form

Biesheim 1W 2D 1L

Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Prediction snapshot Biesheim to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Biesheim