Racing Besançon vs APM Metz preview
In the Coupe de France match between Racing Besançon and APM Metz, both teams have a 36% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance of occurring. The expected goals are close, with Racing Besançon at 1.40 and APM Metz at 1.38, indicating a competitive match.
The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 53%, while both teams to score stands at 58%. However, recent form shows Racing Besançon with a loss followed by a win, and APM Metz with a loss and a draw. This could affect their performance and the match outcome. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting some uncertainty.
Racing Besançon vs APM Metz: model vs market
| Source | Racing Besançon | Draw | APM Metz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Racing Besançon and APM Metz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.78
- Attack rating (Racing Besançon / APM Metz)
- 1.06 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Racing Besançon / APM Metz)
- 0.81 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Racing Besançon vs APM Metz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Racing Besançon goals. Columns: APM Metz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Racing Besançon vs APM Metz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Racing Besançon vs APM Metz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Besançon | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| APM Metz | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| No | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Racing Besançon or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or APM Metz) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Besançon win by 2+ | 17% | 5.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Racing Besançon and APM Metz recent form
Racing Besançon
1W 0D 1L
APM Metz
0W 1D 1L
Last 2 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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