Kolkheti Poti vs Odishi 1919: model vs market
| Source | Kolkheti Poti | Draw | Odishi 1919 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 34% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Published | 46% | 28% | 25% |
| Edge | -10% | +8% | +2% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Kolkheti Poti vs Odishi 1919 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kolkheti Poti, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-16.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kolkheti Poti | 1.85 | 1.83 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.38 | -0.12 |
| Odishi 1919 | 3.62 | 3.62 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kolkheti Poti and Odishi 1919 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.87
- Attack rating (Kolkheti Poti / Odishi 1919)
- 0.81 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Kolkheti Poti / Odishi 1919)
- 0.91 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kolkheti Poti vs Odishi 1919 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kolkheti Poti goals. Columns: Odishi 1919 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kolkheti Poti vs Odishi 1919 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kolkheti Poti vs Odishi 1919
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolkheti Poti | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 | |
| Odishi 1919 | 25% | 3.98 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29% | 3.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.64 |
| No | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kolkheti Poti or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Odishi 1919) | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolkheti Poti win by 2+ | 16% | 6.13 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Kolkheti Poti and Odishi 1919 recent form
Kolkheti Poti
2W 3D 1L
Odishi 1919
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kolkheti Poti at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-7-2
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 0.79
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Odishi 1919 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-8
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.79
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kolkheti Poti at home only, Odishi 1919 away only.
Kolkheti Poti vs Odishi 1919 head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Kolkheti Poti 1 · draws 0 · Odishi 1919 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Odishi 1919 | 2-1 | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kolkheti Poti | 5-0 | Odishi 1919 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Odishi 1919 | 2-0 | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Merani Martvili vs Shturmi 2026-10-17
- Gareji v Telavi — match page 2026-10-17
- Samtredia v Aragvi Dusheti — match page 2026-10-17
- Sioni vs Gori — team news & stats 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Kolkheti Poti, previous: Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti prediction
- Kolkheti Poti, next: Telavi vs Kolkheti Poti prediction
- Odishi 1919, previous: Odishi 1919 v Gareji analysis
- Odishi 1919, next: Odishi 1919 vs Merani Martvili: odds and pick