Sioni vs Gori: model vs market
| Source | Sioni | Draw | Gori |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 25% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sioni and Gori expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.20
- Attack rating (Sioni / Gori)
- 0.96 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Sioni / Gori)
- 1.33 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sioni vs Gori score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sioni goals. Columns: Gori goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sioni vs Gori goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sioni vs Gori
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sioni | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Gori | 42% | 2.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sioni or draw) | 58% | 1.74 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Gori) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gori win by 2+ | 23% | 4.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Sioni and Gori recent form
Sioni
1W 2D 3L
Gori
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sioni at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-3
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Gori away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-8
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.21
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sioni at home only, Gori away only.
Sioni vs Gori head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Sioni 0 · draws 2 · Gori 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Gori | 4-1 | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gori | 1-0 | Sioni | David Kipiani Cup |
| 2026-05-06 | Sioni | 1-1 | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gori | 0-0 | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Merani Martvili vs Shturmi 2026-10-17
- Gareji v Telavi — match page 2026-10-17
- Kolkheti Poti vs Odishi 1919 — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Samtredia v Aragvi Dusheti — match page 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Sioni, previous: Samtredia – Sioni, 2026-10-10
- Sioni, next: Shturmi v Sioni analysis
- Gori, previous: Gori vs Merani Martvili: odds and pick
- Gori, next: Gori – Samtredia, 2026-10-24