Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig preview
In the upcoming match between Arminia Bielefeld and Eintracht Braunschweig, the 1X2 probabilities show Arminia Bielefeld at 53%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 (10%). The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 65%.
However, recent form could complicate this prediction. Arminia Bielefeld has recorded two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Eintracht Braunschweig has only one win in their last six games. This disparity in form may affect the outcome, despite Bielefeld's historical advantage with 1 win and 1 draw in their last two encounters.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig: model vs market
| Source | Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Published | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.22.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.76, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Arminia Bielefeld, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1.84 | 1.74 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.00 | +0.25 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 3.80 | 4.10 | +0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Arminia Bielefeld and Eintracht Braunschweig expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.05
- Attack rating (Arminia Bielefeld / Eintracht Braunschweig)
- 1.05 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Arminia Bielefeld / Eintracht Braunschweig)
- 1.00 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Arminia Bielefeld goals. Columns: Eintracht Braunschweig goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arminia Bielefeld | 53% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 | |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Arminia Bielefeld or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Eintracht Braunschweig) | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Arminia Bielefeld win by 2+ | 29% | 3.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Arminia Bielefeld and Eintracht Braunschweig recent form
Arminia Bielefeld
2W 2D 2L
Eintracht Braunschweig
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Arminia Bielefeld at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Eintracht Braunschweig away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Arminia Bielefeld at home only, Eintracht Braunschweig away only.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Arminia Bielefeld 1 · draws 1 · Eintracht Braunschweig 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Arminia Bielefeld | 3-2 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-30 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1-1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Energie Cottbus vs Bochum 2026-10-30
- Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück — match page 2026-10-31
- Darmstadt v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page 2026-10-31
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC — match page 2026-10-31
- Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel 2026-11-01
- St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Arminia Bielefeld, previous: Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: odds and pick
- Eintracht Braunschweig, previous: Eintracht Braunschweig v Hannover 96 analysis