Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim preview
Karlsruher SC faces FC Heidenheim with a 35% chance of winning for Karlsruher SC compared to 42% for FC Heidenheim. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which reflects the expected goals of 1.77 for Karlsruher SC and 1.94 for FC Heidenheim.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both sit at 72%, indicating a strong potential for a high-scoring match. However, Karlsruher SC's recent form shows 4 losses in the last 5 games, which could impact their performance negatively. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim: model vs market
| Source | Karlsruher SC | Draw | FC Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 23% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Published | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Heidenheim, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 2.75 | 2.88 | +0.13 |
| Draw | 3.73 | 3.70 | -0.03 |
| FC Heidenheim | 2.30 | 2.23 | -0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Karlsruher SC and FC Heidenheim expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.71
- Attack rating (Karlsruher SC / FC Heidenheim)
- 0.92 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Karlsruher SC / FC Heidenheim)
- 1.41 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Karlsruher SC goals. Columns: FC Heidenheim goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 72%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karlsruher SC | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 | |
| FC Heidenheim | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.52 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72% | 1.39 |
| No | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Karlsruher SC or draw) | 58% | 1.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Heidenheim) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Heidenheim win by 2+ | 23% | 4.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Karlsruher SC and FC Heidenheim recent form
Karlsruher SC
1W 1D 4L
FC Heidenheim
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Karlsruher SC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
FC Heidenheim away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Karlsruher SC at home only, FC Heidenheim away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2026-10-30
- Energie Cottbus vs Bochum 2026-10-30
- Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück — match page 2026-10-31
- Darmstadt v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page 2026-10-31
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC — match page 2026-10-31
- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel 2026-11-01
- St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Karlsruher SC, previous: Borussia M.Gladbach – Karlsruher SC, 2026-10-27
- FC Heidenheim, previous: FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus: odds and pick