FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 preview
In the 2. Bundesliga fixture between FC Heidenheim and Hannover 96, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Heidenheim at 46%, Hannover 96 at 30%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which accounts for 9% of the predictions. The model also indicates a 66% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 67% probability for both teams to score.
FC Heidenheim's expected goals are 1.88, while Hannover 96's are lower at 1.49. Recent form shows FC Heidenheim with a record of L-D-L-D-D-W and Hannover 96 at W-L-L-D-L-W. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the confidence grade of C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96: model vs market
| Source | FC Heidenheim | Draw | Hannover 96 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Published | 46% | 25% | 30% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.49.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Heidenheim, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Heidenheim | 2.05 | 2.05 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.84 | 3.76 | -0.08 |
| Hannover 96 | 3.12 | 3.12 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Heidenheim and Hannover 96 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.38
- Attack rating (FC Heidenheim / Hannover 96)
- 1.04 / 0.98
- Defence rating (FC Heidenheim / Hannover 96)
- 1.18 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Heidenheim goals. Columns: Hannover 96 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Heidenheim | 46% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 | |
| Hannover 96 | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Heidenheim or draw) | 70% | 1.42 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Hannover 96) | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Heidenheim win by 2+ | 26% | 3.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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FC Heidenheim and Hannover 96 recent form
FC Heidenheim
1W 3D 2L
Hannover 96
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Heidenheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Hannover 96 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Heidenheim at home only, Hannover 96 away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2026-11-06
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Darmstadt — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld — match page 2026-11-07
- VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2026-11-07
- Hertha BSC v Wolfsburg — match page 2026-11-07
- Bochum vs Karlsruher SC 2026-11-08
- 1. FC Magdeburg v St. Pauli — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- FC Heidenheim, previous: Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim: odds and pick
- Hannover 96, previous: Hannover 96 – Dynamo Dresden, 2026-11-01