Bochum vs Karlsruher SC preview
In the 2. Bundesliga fixture between Bochum and Karlsruher SC, Bochum has a 57% chance to win, while Karlsruher SC sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Bochum's expected goals are 1.76 compared to Karlsruher SC's 0.89, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. The chances of Over 2.5 goals stand at 49%, and both teams to score is at 50%. Recent form shows Bochum with two wins, while Karlsruher SC has had mixed results with two wins and four losses in their last six matches. This inconsistency could impact the outcome.
Bochum vs Karlsruher SC: model vs market
| Source | Bochum | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Published | 53% | 24% | 22% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.89.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Bochum vs Karlsruher SC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bochum, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bochum | 1.80 | 1.80 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 3.92 | -0.12 |
| Karlsruher SC | 3.79 | 3.90 | +0.11 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bochum and Karlsruher SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Bochum / Karlsruher SC)
- 0.82 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Bochum / Karlsruher SC)
- 0.76 / 1.30
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bochum vs Karlsruher SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bochum goals. Columns: Karlsruher SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bochum vs Karlsruher SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bochum vs Karlsruher SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bochum | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Karlsruher SC | 22% | 4.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| No | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bochum or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Karlsruher SC) | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bochum win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bochum and Karlsruher SC recent form
Bochum
2W 1D 3L
Karlsruher SC
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bochum at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Karlsruher SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bochum at home only, Karlsruher SC away only.
Bochum vs Karlsruher SC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Bochum 1 · draws 1 · Karlsruher SC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Karlsruher SC | 1-2 | Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-20 | Bochum | 2-2 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2026-11-06
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Darmstadt — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld — match page 2026-11-07
- VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2026-11-07
- Hertha BSC v Wolfsburg — match page 2026-11-07
- 1. FC Magdeburg v St. Pauli — match page 2026-11-08
- FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96 — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Bochum, previous: Energie Cottbus vs Bochum prediction
- Karlsruher SC, previous: Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim: odds and pick