VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern preview
In the fixture between VfL Osnabrück and 1. FC Kaiserslautern, the 1X2 probabilities show VfL Osnabrück at 34%, a draw at 28%, and 1. FC Kaiserslautern at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance.
VfL Osnabrück has an expected goals figure of 0.98, while 1. FC Kaiserslautern has 1.12. The model predicts a 35% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance for both teams to score. However, recent form shows VfL Osnabrück with a record of L-W-L-D-D-L, contrasting with Kaiserslautern's L-W-W-W-D-W, which could impact the outcome.
VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: model vs market
| Source | VfL Osnabrück | Draw | 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 33% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Published | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Edge | -1% | +2% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern odds movement
Median bookmaker price on 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-31.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabrück | 2.59 | 2.59 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.60 | +0.00 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2.43 | 2.45 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
VfL Osnabrück and 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.10
- Attack rating (VfL Osnabrück / 1. FC Kaiserslautern)
- 1.01 / 0.77
- Defence rating (VfL Osnabrück / 1. FC Kaiserslautern)
- 1.13 / 0.59
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: VfL Osnabrück goals. Columns: 1. FC Kaiserslautern goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfL Osnabrück | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.85 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.30 |
| No | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (VfL Osnabrück or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or 1. FC Kaiserslautern) | 66% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern win by 2+ | 16% | 6.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
VfL Osnabrück and 1. FC Kaiserslautern recent form
VfL Osnabrück
1W 2D 3L
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
VfL Osnabrück at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
1. FC Kaiserslautern away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: VfL Osnabrück at home only, 1. FC Kaiserslautern away only.
VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: VfL Osnabrück 2 · draws 1 · 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-10 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3-2 | VfL Osnabrück | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-01 | VfL Osnabrück | 2-2 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2022-03-05 | VfL Osnabrück | 0-1 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3. Liga |
| 2021-09-25 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2-0 | VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga |
| 2019-03-24 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1-3 | VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga |
| 2018-10-06 | VfL Osnabrück | 2-0 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3. Liga |
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Before and after this match
- VfL Osnabrück, previous: Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück prediction
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern, previous: 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC analysis