Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück preview
Wolfsburg faces VfL Osnabrück with a 68% chance of winning according to our model. The expected goals are 2.89 for Wolfsburg and 1.36 for VfL Osnabrück, suggesting a likely scoreline of 2-1 at 8%. With 80% for Over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, the match could see multiple goals.
However, Wolfsburg's recent form shows a mix of results with two draws and a loss in their last five matches. VfL Osnabrück has struggled, recording only one win in their last six games. This inconsistency could impact the outcome, making the predictions less certain.
Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück: model vs market
| Source | Wolfsburg | Draw | VfL Osnabrück |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| Published | 62% | 19% | 18% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 1.50.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Wolfsburg, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsburg | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.00 |
| VfL Osnabrück | 5.27 | 5.20 | -0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Wolfsburg and VfL Osnabrück expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.18
- Attack rating (Wolfsburg / VfL Osnabrück)
- 1.49 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Wolfsburg / VfL Osnabrück)
- 1.06 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wolfsburg goals. Columns: VfL Osnabrück goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolfsburg | 62% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.15 | |
| VfL Osnabrück | 18% | 5.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 4.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wolfsburg or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or VfL Osnabrück) | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wolfsburg win by 2+ | 43% | 2.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Wolfsburg and VfL Osnabrück recent form
Wolfsburg
2W 3D 1L
VfL Osnabrück
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wolfsburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.5 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
VfL Osnabrück away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wolfsburg at home only, VfL Osnabrück away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2026-10-30
- Energie Cottbus vs Bochum 2026-10-30
- Darmstadt v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page 2026-10-31
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC — match page 2026-10-31
- Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel 2026-11-01
- St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Wolfsburg, previous: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg prediction
- VfL Osnabrück, previous: VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: odds and pick