Darmstadt vs 1. FC Magdeburg preview
In the upcoming match between Darmstadt and 1. FC Magdeburg, the 1X2 probabilities show 14% for Darmstadt, 20% for a draw, and 66% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 0.96 for Darmstadt and 2.28 for 1. FC Magdeburg.
Darmstadt's recent form includes 2 draws and 4 losses, while 1. FC Magdeburg has 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches. The model suggests a 63% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance for both teams to score. However, if Darmstadt improves their attacking performance, the predicted outcomes could change.
Darmstadt vs 1. FC Magdeburg: model vs market
| Source | Darmstadt | Draw | 1. FC Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| Published | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| Edge | -5% | -1% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices 1. FC Magdeburg below our published probability: +6.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.37, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +10.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Darmstadt vs 1. FC Magdeburg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on 1. FC Magdeburg, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt | 2.70 | 2.70 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.72 | +0.00 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.32 | 2.32 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Darmstadt and 1. FC Magdeburg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.24
- Attack rating (Darmstadt / 1. FC Magdeburg)
- 0.76 / 1.41
- Defence rating (Darmstadt / 1. FC Magdeburg)
- 1.26 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Darmstadt vs 1. FC Magdeburg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Darmstadt goals. Columns: 1. FC Magdeburg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Darmstadt vs 1. FC Magdeburg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Darmstadt vs 1. FC Magdeburg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Darmstadt | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.18 | |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.77 |
| No | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Darmstadt or draw) | 53% | 1.88 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or 1. FC Magdeburg) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | 1. FC Magdeburg win by 2+ | 44% | 2.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Darmstadt and 1. FC Magdeburg recent form
Darmstadt
2W 1D 3L
1. FC Magdeburg
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Darmstadt at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
1. FC Magdeburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Darmstadt at home only, 1. FC Magdeburg away only.
Darmstadt vs 1. FC Magdeburg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Darmstadt 0 · draws 2 · 1. FC Magdeburg 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1-1 | Darmstadt | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-10-19 | Darmstadt | 0-0 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2026-10-30
- Energie Cottbus vs Bochum 2026-10-30
- Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück — match page 2026-10-31
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC — match page 2026-10-31
- Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel 2026-11-01
- St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Darmstadt, previous: SV Elversberg v Darmstadt analysis
- 1. FC Magdeburg, previous: Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg: odds and pick