Energie Cottbus vs Bochum preview
Energie Cottbus faces Bochum with both teams having a 37% chance to win according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Energie Cottbus has an expected goals figure of 1.57, while Bochum's is lower at 0.99.
The match could see Over 2.5 goals at 47%, but both teams to score is slightly higher at 51%. Recent form shows Energie Cottbus with three draws and two wins in their last six matches, while Bochum has only one win in their last six, highlighting a potential struggle for Bochum to find the net.
Energie Cottbus vs Bochum: model vs market
| Source | Energie Cottbus | Draw | Bochum |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 41% |
| Published | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Edge | +4% | +1% | -5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.99.
- The market prices Energie Cottbus below our published probability: +4.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.95, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +10.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Energie Cottbus vs Bochum odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Energie Cottbus, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | 2.55 | 2.83 | +0.28 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.70 | -0.05 |
| Bochum | 2.38 | 2.26 | -0.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Energie Cottbus and Bochum expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.56
- Attack rating (Energie Cottbus / Bochum)
- 1.11 / 0.68
- Defence rating (Energie Cottbus / Bochum)
- 1.13 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Energie Cottbus vs Bochum score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Energie Cottbus goals. Columns: Bochum goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Energie Cottbus vs Bochum goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Energie Cottbus vs Bochum
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Energie Cottbus | 37% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Bochum | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| No | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Energie Cottbus or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Bochum) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Energie Cottbus win by 2+ | 26% | 3.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Energie Cottbus and Bochum recent form
Energie Cottbus
1W 4D 1L
Bochum
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Energie Cottbus at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bochum away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Energie Cottbus at home only, Bochum away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2026-10-30
- Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück — match page 2026-10-31
- Darmstadt v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page 2026-10-31
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC — match page 2026-10-31
- Karlsruher SC vs FC Heidenheim — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel 2026-11-01
- St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Energie Cottbus, previous: FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus: odds and pick
- Bochum, previous: Bochum v Mainz 05 analysis