Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko preview
In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Ashanti Gold and Asante Kotoko, the 1X2 probabilities show Ashanti Gold at 63%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Ashanti Gold has an expected goals figure of 1.85, compared to Asante Kotoko's 0.72, indicating a stronger attacking performance from the home side.
However, the match could see a different outcome if Asante Kotoko improves their recent form, which includes a win in their last match. With 47% for Over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, there’s potential for surprises, especially if Asante Kotoko can capitalize on any defensive errors from Ashanti Gold. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting some uncertainty.
Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko: model vs market
| Source | Ashanti Gold | Draw | Asante Kotoko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 24% | 13% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 63% | 24% | 13% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.72.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ashanti Gold and Asante Kotoko expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (Ashanti Gold / Asante Kotoko)
- 1.10 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Ashanti Gold / Asante Kotoko)
- 1.07 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ashanti Gold goals. Columns: Asante Kotoko goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 | |
| Asante Kotoko | 13% | 7.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.26 |
| No | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ashanti Gold or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Asante Kotoko) | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ashanti Gold win by 2+ | 38% | 2.60 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ashanti Gold and Asante Kotoko recent form
Ashanti Gold
3W 0D 3L
Asante Kotoko
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ashanti Gold at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Asante Kotoko away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ashanti Gold at home only, Asante Kotoko away only.
Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Ashanti Gold 2 · draws 4 · Asante Kotoko 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-02 | Ashanti Gold | 1-1 | Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| 2022-01-09 | Asante Kotoko | 3-1 | Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| 2021-06-06 | Asante Kotoko | 1-0 | Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| 2021-01-31 | Ashanti Gold | 0-0 | Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| 2020-02-16 | Asante Kotoko | 0-0 | Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| 2018-04-08 | Ashanti Gold | 2-0 | Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| 2017-10-05 | Asante Kotoko | 1-1 | Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| 2017-02-27 | Ashanti Gold | 0-1 | Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| 2016-09-14 | Ashanti Gold | 5-3 | Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
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Before and after this match
- Ashanti Gold, previous: Aduana Stars – Ashanti Gold, 2026-10-18
- Ashanti Gold, next: Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold: odds and pick
- Asante Kotoko, previous: Asante Kotoko vs Young Apostles prediction