Asante Kotoko vs Medeama preview
In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Asante Kotoko and Medeama, the 1X2 probabilities show Asante Kotoko at 42%, Medeama at 30%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance according to our model. Asante Kotoko has an expected goals figure of 1.45, while Medeama sits at 1.19.
Both teams to score stands at 55%, suggesting a decent chance for goals from both sides. However, Asante Kotoko's recent form of D-W-L-W-L-D may impact their performance, especially against a strong Medeama side that has won 6 of their last 7 matches. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Asante Kotoko vs Medeama: model vs market
| Source | Asante Kotoko | Draw | Medeama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Asante Kotoko and Medeama expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.64
- Attack rating (Asante Kotoko / Medeama)
- 0.98 / 1.47
- Defence rating (Asante Kotoko / Medeama)
- 1.21 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Asante Kotoko vs Medeama score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Asante Kotoko goals. Columns: Medeama goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Asante Kotoko vs Medeama goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Asante Kotoko vs Medeama
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asante Kotoko | 42% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Medeama | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Asante Kotoko or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Medeama) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | Asante Kotoko win by 2+ | 21% | 4.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Asante Kotoko and Medeama recent form
Asante Kotoko
2W 2D 2L
Medeama
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Asante Kotoko at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Medeama away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Asante Kotoko at home only, Medeama away only.
Asante Kotoko vs Medeama head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Asante Kotoko 0 · draws 1 · Medeama 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Medeama | 4-0 | Asante Kotoko | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-11-30 | Asante Kotoko | 2-2 | Medeama | Ghana Premier League |
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Before and after this match
- Asante Kotoko, previous: Ashanti Gold v Asante Kotoko analysis
- Medeama, previous: Medeama vs Aduana Stars: odds and pick