Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks preview
Medeama has a 59% chance to win against Swedru All Blacks, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 12%. Medeama's expected goals stand at 1.80, while Swedru All Blacks has an expected goals of 0.85. Recent form shows Medeama with three wins in their last five matches, while Swedru All Blacks has two wins in their last five.
However, the prediction could be wrong if Swedru All Blacks improves their attacking play, as both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 49%. The teams have faced each other twice recently, with Medeama winning once and drawing once, indicating a competitive edge for Medeama but leaving room for surprises.
Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks: model vs market
| Source | Medeama | Draw | Swedru All Blacks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Medeama and Swedru All Blacks expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Medeama / Swedru All Blacks)
- 1.41 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Medeama / Swedru All Blacks)
- 1.09 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Medeama goals. Columns: Swedru All Blacks goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Medeama | 59% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Swedru All Blacks | 16% | 6.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Medeama or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Swedru All Blacks) | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Medeama win by 2+ | 35% | 2.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Medeama and Swedru All Blacks recent form
Medeama
4W 1D 1L
Swedru All Blacks
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Medeama at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Swedru All Blacks away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Medeama at home only, Swedru All Blacks away only.
Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Medeama 1 · draws 1 · Swedru All Blacks 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Swedru All Blacks | 0-0 | Medeama | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-10-26 | Medeama | 1-0 | Swedru All Blacks | Ghana Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Port City vs Basake Holy Stars 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Medeama, previous: Asante Kotoko v Medeama analysis
- Swedru All Blacks, previous: Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold: odds and pick