Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles preview
In the upcoming match between Ashanti Gold and Young Apostles, the 1X2 probabilities show Ashanti Gold at 68%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 (15%). Ashanti Gold has an expected goals figure of 1.90, while Young Apostles sits at 0.58. This suggests a strong advantage for Ashanti Gold.
However, the prediction could be challenged if Young Apostles manages to improve their recent form, which includes only 1 win in their last 6 matches. Additionally, with Over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 38%, there is potential for surprises in the match. Ashanti Gold's inconsistent results could also play a role in the outcome.
Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles: model vs market
| Source | Ashanti Gold | Draw | Young Apostles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68% | 22% | 10% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 68% | 22% | 10% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ashanti Gold and Young Apostles expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Ashanti Gold / Young Apostles)
- 1.18 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Ashanti Gold / Young Apostles)
- 1.05 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ashanti Gold goals. Columns: Young Apostles goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 68% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 | |
| Young Apostles | 10% | 10.40 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.60 |
| No | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ashanti Gold or draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Young Apostles) | 32% | 3.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ashanti Gold win by 2+ | 43% | 2.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ashanti Gold and Young Apostles recent form
Ashanti Gold
3W 1D 2L
Young Apostles
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ashanti Gold at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Young Apostles away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ashanti Gold at home only, Young Apostles away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Karela vs Vision 2026-11-06
- Dreams v Debibi United — match page 2026-11-08
- Bechem United vs Samartex 2026-11-08
- Berekum Chelsea v Asante Kotoko — match page 2026-11-08
- Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Medeama v Swedru All Blacks — match page 2026-11-08
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Port City vs Basake Holy Stars 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Ashanti Gold, previous: Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold: odds and pick
- Young Apostles, previous: Young Apostles v Karela analysis