Port City vs Basake Holy Stars preview
In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Port City and Basake Holy Stars, the 1X2 probabilities show Port City at 69%, while Basake Holy Stars sit at just 7%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 21% chance of occurring. Port City has an expected goals figure of 1.67 compared to Basake Holy Stars' 0.37, indicating a significant offensive advantage.
However, the confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals stands at 33%, and both teams to score is at 26%. If Basake Holy Stars can improve their recent form, which includes 4 losses in their last 6 matches, they could potentially challenge Port City's dominance.
Port City vs Basake Holy Stars: model vs market
| Source | Port City | Draw | Basake Holy Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 24% | 7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 69% | 24% | 7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.37.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Port City and Basake Holy Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.04
- Attack rating (Port City / Basake Holy Stars)
- 1.08 / 0.67
- Defence rating (Port City / Basake Holy Stars)
- 0.83 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Port City vs Basake Holy Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Port City goals. Columns: Basake Holy Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Port City vs Basake Holy Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 26%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Port City vs Basake Holy Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port City | 69% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 | |
| Basake Holy Stars | 7% | 14.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 2.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26% | 3.84 |
| No | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Port City or draw) | 93% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Basake Holy Stars) | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | Port City win by 2+ | 41% | 2.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Port City and Basake Holy Stars recent form
Port City
2W 2D 2L
Basake Holy Stars
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Port City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Basake Holy Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Port City at home only, Basake Holy Stars away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Karela vs Vision 2026-11-06
- Dreams v Debibi United — match page 2026-11-08
- Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Bechem United vs Samartex 2026-11-08
- Berekum Chelsea v Asante Kotoko — match page 2026-11-08
- Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Medeama v Swedru All Blacks — match page 2026-11-08
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Port City, previous: Vision – Port City, 2026-10-31
- Basake Holy Stars, previous: Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams prediction