Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams preview
In the upcoming match between Basake Holy Stars and Dreams, the 1X2 probabilities show Basake Holy Stars at 39%, Dreams at 28%, and a draw at 33%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 13% probability. Basake Holy Stars has an expected goals figure of 1.12, while Dreams sits at 0.91, suggesting a slight edge for the home team.
However, the recent form indicates Basake Holy Stars has won 3 out of their last 6 matches, while Dreams has struggled, with 6 matches without a win, including 5 losses. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 42%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 33%, which could challenge the expected outcome if either team finds their scoring touch.
Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams: model vs market
| Source | Basake Holy Stars | Draw | Dreams |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Basake Holy Stars and Dreams expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.17
- Attack rating (Basake Holy Stars / Dreams)
- 0.71 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Basake Holy Stars / Dreams)
- 1.11 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Basake Holy Stars goals. Columns: Dreams goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Basake Holy Stars | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Dreams | 24% | 4.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.30 |
| No | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Basake Holy Stars or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Dreams) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Basake Holy Stars win by 2+ | 21% | 4.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Basake Holy Stars and Dreams recent form
Basake Holy Stars
3W 0D 3L
Dreams
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Basake Holy Stars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Dreams away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Basake Holy Stars at home only, Dreams away only.
Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Basake Holy Stars 0 · draws 0 · Dreams 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Basake Holy Stars | 1-4 | Dreams | Ghana Premier League |
| 2026-01-04 | Dreams | 2-0 | Basake Holy Stars | Ghana Premier League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold 2026-10-30
- Vision vs Port City — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Asante Kotoko v Medeama — match page 2026-11-01
- Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Heart of Lions vs Bechem United 2026-11-01
- Samartex v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page 2026-11-01
- Debibi United vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Young Apostles vs Karela 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Basake Holy Stars, previous: Hearts of Oak – Basake Holy Stars, 2026-10-23
- Dreams, previous: Dreams – Vision, 2026-10-25