Young Apostles vs Karela preview
In the Ghana Premier League fixture, Young Apostles have a 53% chance to win against Karela, who have just a 17% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% probability. Young Apostles' expected goals stand at 1.40, while Karela's is significantly lower at 0.69.
However, the prediction could be challenged if Karela manages to score, as both teams to score has a 39% probability. Additionally, the recent form shows both teams have had mixed results, with Young Apostles winning only 2 of their last 5 matches, while Karela has won 3. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the forecast.
Young Apostles vs Karela: model vs market
| Source | Young Apostles | Draw | Karela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.74.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Young Apostles and Karela expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.20
- Attack rating (Young Apostles / Karela)
- 0.89 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Young Apostles / Karela)
- 1.29 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Young Apostles vs Karela score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Young Apostles goals. Columns: Karela goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Young Apostles vs Karela goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Young Apostles vs Karela
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Apostles | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Karela | 18% | 5.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.41 |
| No | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Young Apostles or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Karela) | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Young Apostles win by 2+ | 28% | 3.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Young Apostles and Karela recent form
Young Apostles
1W 0D 5L
Karela
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Young Apostles at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Karela away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Young Apostles at home only, Karela away only.
Young Apostles vs Karela head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Young Apostles 1 · draws 0 · Karela 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Karela | 2-1 | Young Apostles | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-12-14 | Young Apostles | 2-1 | Karela | Ghana Premier League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold 2026-10-30
- Vision vs Port City — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Asante Kotoko v Medeama — match page 2026-11-01
- Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Heart of Lions vs Bechem United 2026-11-01
- Samartex v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page 2026-11-01
- Debibi United vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Basake Holy Stars v Dreams — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Young Apostles, previous: Young Apostles – Swedru All Blacks, 2026-10-25
- Karela, previous: Karela v Port City analysis