Debibi United vs Hearts of Oak preview
In the upcoming match between Debibi United and Hearts of Oak, the 1X2 probabilities show Debibi United at 27%, a draw at 41%, and Hearts of Oak at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 26%, indicating a low-scoring affair.
Debibi United has an expected goals figure of 0.65, while Hearts of Oak stands at 0.74. The low percentages for Over 2.5 goals at 16% and both teams to score at 26% suggest that scoring may be limited. However, if either team exceeds their expected goals, the match could deviate from the predicted outcome.
Debibi United vs Hearts of Oak: model vs market
| Source | Debibi United | Draw | Hearts of Oak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 39% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 22% | 39% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Debibi United and Hearts of Oak expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.45
- Attack rating (Debibi United / Hearts of Oak)
- 0.84 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Debibi United / Hearts of Oak)
- 1.33 / 0.50
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Debibi United vs Hearts of Oak score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Debibi United goals. Columns: Hearts of Oak goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Debibi United vs Hearts of Oak goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 27%
- No goals (0–0)
- 25%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Debibi United vs Hearts of Oak
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Debibi United | 22% | 4.63 |
| Draw | 39% | 2.55 | |
| Hearts of Oak | 39% | 2.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18% | 5.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27% | 3.76 |
| No | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Debibi United or draw) | 61% | 1.64 |
| 12 (either side) | 61% | 1.65 | |
| X2 (draw or Hearts of Oak) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hearts of Oak win by 2+ | 14% | 7.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Debibi United and Hearts of Oak recent form
Debibi United
2W 0D 4L
Hearts of Oak
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Debibi United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Hearts of Oak away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Debibi United at home only, Hearts of Oak away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Vision vs Port City — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Asante Kotoko v Medeama — match page 2026-11-01
- Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Heart of Lions vs Bechem United 2026-11-01
- Samartex v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page 2026-11-01
- Basake Holy Stars v Dreams — match page 2026-11-01
- Young Apostles vs Karela 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Debibi United, previous: Bechem United vs Debibi United: odds and pick
- Hearts of Oak, previous: Hearts of Oak – Basake Holy Stars, 2026-10-23