Updated

Ghana Premier League · Matchday 10

Dreams vs Debibi United

· Tuba Astro Turf, Accra

Alin prediction Dreams to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
DreamsDrawDebibi United
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.68.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Dreams vs Debibi United preview

In the upcoming match between Dreams and Debibi United, the 1X2 probabilities show Dreams at 66%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 at 14%. Dreams have an expected goals figure of 1.91, while Debibi United sits at 0.68. This suggests a strong advantage for Dreams, making a win for them the expected outcome.

However, the match could take a different turn if Debibi United improves their recent form, which includes three losses in their last six games. Additionally, with Over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 43%, there's potential for surprises. If Debibi United finds their scoring touch, they could challenge Dreams more than anticipated.

Dreams vs Debibi United: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDreamsDrawDebibi United
Model66%23%12%
Market———
Published66%23%12%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.68.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Dreams and Debibi United expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.91Dreams
0.68Debibi United
Total expected goals
2.59
Attack rating (Dreams / Debibi United)
1.17 / 0.86
Defence rating (Dreams / Debibi United)
1.19 / 1.19

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Dreams vs Debibi United score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.5% 4.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 1 13.3% 10.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 2 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 3 8.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 6.4% 4.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Dreams goals. Columns: Debibi United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Dreams vs Debibi United goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 48%
Over 3.5 26%
Both teams to score
43%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Dreams vs Debibi United

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Dreams66%1.53
Draw23%4.37
Debibi United12%8.65
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548%2.08
Under 2.552%1.92
Both teams to scoreYes43%2.32
No57%1.76
Double chance1X (Dreams or draw)88%1.13
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Debibi United)34%2.90
Handicap -1Dreams win by 2+41%2.46
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Dreams and Debibi United recent form

Dreams 1W 2D 3L
Debibi United 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Dreams at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Debibi United away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.25
Goals against / match
2.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Dreams at home only, Debibi United away only.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Dreams to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Dreams