Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko preview
Berekum Chelsea faces Asante Kotoko with a 65% chance of winning compared to Kotoko's 11%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% probability. Berekum Chelsea has an expected goals figure of 1.85, while Asante Kotoko sits at 0.65.
However, the recent form shows Berekum Chelsea with two draws and two losses in their last six matches, while Asante Kotoko has drawn twice and won twice in the same period. With Over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 41%, the match could see a different outcome if Kotoko improves their attacking play.
Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko: model vs market
| Source | Berekum Chelsea | Draw | Asante Kotoko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 24% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 65% | 24% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.65.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Berekum Chelsea and Asante Kotoko expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (Berekum Chelsea / Asante Kotoko)
- 1.11 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Berekum Chelsea / Asante Kotoko)
- 0.97 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Berekum Chelsea goals. Columns: Asante Kotoko goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Berekum Chelsea | 65% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Asante Kotoko | 11% | 8.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.42 |
| No | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Berekum Chelsea or draw) | 89% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Asante Kotoko) | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Handicap -1 | Berekum Chelsea win by 2+ | 40% | 2.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Berekum Chelsea and Asante Kotoko recent form
Berekum Chelsea
2W 2D 2L
Asante Kotoko
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Berekum Chelsea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Asante Kotoko away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Berekum Chelsea at home only, Asante Kotoko away only.
Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Berekum Chelsea 0 · draws 1 · Asante Kotoko 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Asante Kotoko | 0-0 | Berekum Chelsea | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-09-13 | Berekum Chelsea | 0-1 | Asante Kotoko | Ghana Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Karela vs Vision 2026-11-06
- Dreams v Debibi United — match page 2026-11-08
- Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Bechem United vs Samartex 2026-11-08
- Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Medeama v Swedru All Blacks — match page 2026-11-08
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Port City vs Basake Holy Stars 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Berekum Chelsea, previous: Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea: odds and pick
- Asante Kotoko, previous: Asante Kotoko v Medeama analysis