Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars preview
In the upcoming match between Bibiani Gold Stars and Aduana Stars, the 1X2 probabilities show Bibiani Gold Stars at 47%, a draw at 32%, and Aduana Stars at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% chance according to our model.
While Bibiani Gold Stars have an expected goals figure of 1.25, Aduana Stars sit lower at 0.76. The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 33%, and both teams to score is at 39%. Recent form indicates Bibiani Gold Stars have struggled with L-W-L-W-D-L, while Aduana Stars have fared better with W-L-W-L-W-W. This could influence the match outcome, despite the numbers suggesting a close contest.
Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars: model vs market
| Source | Bibiani Gold Stars | Draw | Aduana Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 32% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 32% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.76.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bibiani Gold Stars and Aduana Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.01
- Attack rating (Bibiani Gold Stars / Aduana Stars)
- 1.19 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Bibiani Gold Stars / Aduana Stars)
- 1.16 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bibiani Gold Stars goals. Columns: Aduana Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 47% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Aduana Stars | 21% | 4.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.06 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.55 |
| No | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bibiani Gold Stars or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Aduana Stars) | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bibiani Gold Stars win by 2+ | 22% | 4.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bibiani Gold Stars and Aduana Stars recent form
Bibiani Gold Stars
2W 1D 3L
Aduana Stars
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bibiani Gold Stars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aduana Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bibiani Gold Stars at home only, Aduana Stars away only.
Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Bibiani Gold Stars 1 · draws 0 · Aduana Stars 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Aduana Stars | 2-1 | Bibiani Gold Stars | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-11-30 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 1-0 | Aduana Stars | Ghana Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Karela vs Vision 2026-11-06
- Dreams v Debibi United — match page 2026-11-08
- Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Bechem United vs Samartex 2026-11-08
- Berekum Chelsea v Asante Kotoko — match page 2026-11-08
- Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Medeama v Swedru All Blacks — match page 2026-11-08
- Port City vs Basake Holy Stars 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Bibiani Gold Stars, previous: Samartex – Bibiani Gold Stars, 2026-11-01
- Aduana Stars, previous: Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea: odds and pick