Bechem United vs Samartex preview
In the Ghana Premier League fixture, Bechem United has a 52% chance to win against Samartex, who has a 19% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% probability. Bechem United's expected goals stand at 1.46, while Samartex's is lower at 0.78.
However, there are factors that could alter this outcome. Both teams to score has a 43% likelihood, indicating that Samartex may find the net. Additionally, Bechem United's recent form shows inconsistency with 3 wins in their last 6 matches. This could impact their performance against a Samartex side that has shown resilience with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 games.
Bechem United vs Samartex: model vs market
| Source | Bechem United | Draw | Samartex |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.78.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bechem United and Samartex expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.23
- Attack rating (Bechem United / Samartex)
- 1.38 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Bechem United / Samartex)
- 1.23 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bechem United vs Samartex score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bechem United goals. Columns: Samartex goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bechem United vs Samartex goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bechem United vs Samartex
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bechem United | 52% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Samartex | 19% | 5.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| No | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bechem United or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Samartex) | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bechem United win by 2+ | 27% | 3.70 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bechem United and Samartex recent form
Bechem United
3W 0D 3L
Samartex
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bechem United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Samartex away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bechem United at home only, Samartex away only.
Bechem United vs Samartex head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Bechem United 2 · draws 0 · Samartex 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Samartex | 1-2 | Bechem United | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-11-16 | Bechem United | 2-0 | Samartex | Ghana Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Karela vs Vision 2026-11-06
- Dreams v Debibi United — match page 2026-11-08
- Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Berekum Chelsea v Asante Kotoko — match page 2026-11-08
- Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Medeama v Swedru All Blacks — match page 2026-11-08
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Port City vs Basake Holy Stars 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Bechem United, previous: Heart of Lions vs Bechem United prediction
- Samartex, previous: Samartex – Bibiani Gold Stars, 2026-11-01