Heart of Lions vs Bechem United preview
In the fixture between Heart of Lions and Bechem United, the 1X2 probabilities show Heart of Lions at 52%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). The expected goals for Heart of Lions is 1.87, while Bechem United has 1.20. This suggests a competitive match, but factors like recent form could impact the outcome.
Heart of Lions has a recent record of L-L-W-W-D-L, while Bechem United's form is L-W-L-W-D-L. Both teams to score stands at 60%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 59%. If either team underperforms based on their expected goals, the predictions could be inaccurate.
Heart of Lions vs Bechem United: model vs market
| Source | Heart of Lions | Draw | Bechem United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Heart of Lions and Bechem United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.10
- Attack rating (Heart of Lions / Bechem United)
- 1.07 / 1.43
- Defence rating (Heart of Lions / Bechem United)
- 1.46 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Heart of Lions vs Bechem United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Heart of Lions goals. Columns: Bechem United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Heart of Lions vs Bechem United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Heart of Lions vs Bechem United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heart of Lions | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Bechem United | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| No | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Heart of Lions or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Bechem United) | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | Heart of Lions win by 2+ | 23% | 4.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Heart of Lions and Bechem United recent form
Heart of Lions
2W 1D 3L
Bechem United
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Heart of Lions at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Bechem United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Heart of Lions at home only, Bechem United away only.
Heart of Lions vs Bechem United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Heart of Lions 1 · draws 0 · Bechem United 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Bechem United | 1-0 | Heart of Lions | Ghana Premier League |
| 2025-09-28 | Heart of Lions | 1-0 | Bechem United | Ghana Premier League |
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Before and after this match
- Heart of Lions, previous: Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions prediction
- Bechem United, previous: Bechem United vs Debibi United: odds and pick