Updated

Ghana Premier League · Matchday 8

Bechem United vs Debibi United

· Bechem park, Bechem

Alin prediction Bechem United to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Bechem UnitedDrawDebibi United
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.79.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Bechem United vs Debibi United preview

In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Bechem United and Debibi United, the 1X2 probabilities show Bechem United at 66%, while Debibi United sits at 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, which occurs with a 12% chance.

Bechem United has an expected goals figure of 2.06, compared to Debibi United's 0.79. While Over 2.5 goals has a probability of 54% and both teams to score is at 48%, Bechem United's recent form includes 2 wins in their last 6 matches. Debibi United's form is less stable, with 4 losses in their last 6. This discrepancy in recent performances could influence the outcome.

Bechem United vs Debibi United: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBechem UnitedDrawDebibi United
Model66%22%12%
Market———
Published66%22%12%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.79.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Bechem United and Debibi United expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.06Bechem United
0.79Debibi United
Total expected goals
2.85
Attack rating (Bechem United / Debibi United)
1.31 / 0.94
Defence rating (Bechem United / Debibi United)
1.27 / 1.14

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bechem United vs Debibi United score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 1 11.0% 10.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 2 12.3% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 3 8.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 7.0% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%

Rows: Bechem United goals. Columns: Debibi United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bechem United vs Debibi United goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
48%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bechem United vs Debibi United

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Bechem United66%1.51
Draw22%4.62
Debibi United12%8.16
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.85
Under 2.546%2.18
Both teams to scoreYes48%2.07
No52%1.94
Double chance1X (Bechem United or draw)88%1.14
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or Debibi United)34%2.95
Handicap -1Bechem United win by 2+42%2.36
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Bechem United and Debibi United recent form

Bechem United 2W 1D 3L
Debibi United 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Bechem United at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Debibi United away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.33
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Bechem United at home only, Debibi United away only.

Bechem United vs Debibi United head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Bechem United 1 · draws 0 · Debibi United 0.

Bechem UnitedDrawsDebibi United
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2023-11-30Bechem United8-0Debibi UnitedCup

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Bechem United to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Bechem United