Updated

Ghana Premier League · Matchday 8

Young Apostles vs Swedru All Blacks

· Wenchi Sports Stadium, Wenchi

Alin prediction Young Apostles to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Young ApostlesDrawSwedru All Blacks
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Young Apostles vs Swedru All Blacks preview

In the Ghana Premier League fixture between Young Apostles and Swedru All Blacks, the 1X2 probabilities show Young Apostles at 36%, a draw at 34%, and Swedru All Blacks at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% chance. Young Apostles have an expected goals figure of 1.02, while Swedru All Blacks sit at 0.90.

While both teams to score stands at 39%, the low expected goals could indicate a tight match. Young Apostles have shown mixed form recently, with a record of L-W-L-L-L-W, while Swedru All Blacks have been more consistent with W-W-L-D-D-W. This difference in form could influence the outcome, making the prediction less certain.

Young Apostles vs Swedru All Blacks: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceYoung ApostlesDrawSwedru All Blacks
Model36%34%29%
Market———
Published36%34%29%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Young Apostles and Swedru All Blacks expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.02Young Apostles
0.89Swedru All Blacks
Total expected goals
1.92
Attack rating (Young Apostles / Swedru All Blacks)
0.93 / 1.12
Defence rating (Young Apostles / Swedru All Blacks)
1.21 / 0.80

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Young Apostles vs Swedru All Blacks score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 16.0% 11.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5% 1 13.7% 14.8% 6.0% 1.8% 0.5% 2 7.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 3 2.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Young Apostles goals. Columns: Swedru All Blacks goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Young Apostles vs Swedru All Blacks goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 84%
Over 1.5 58%
Over 2.5 30%
Over 3.5 13%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
16%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Young Apostles vs Swedru All Blacks

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Young Apostles36%2.76
Draw34%2.92
Swedru All Blacks29%3.39
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530%3.32
Under 2.570%1.43
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.55
No61%1.64
Double chance1X (Young Apostles or draw)71%1.42
12 (either side)66%1.52
X2 (draw or Swedru All Blacks)64%1.57
Handicap -1Young Apostles win by 2+15%6.86
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Young Apostles and Swedru All Blacks recent form

Young Apostles 2W 0D 4L
Swedru All Blacks 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Young Apostles at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Swedru All Blacks away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.33
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Young Apostles at home only, Swedru All Blacks away only.

Young Apostles vs Swedru All Blacks head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Young Apostles 1 · draws 1 · Swedru All Blacks 0.

Young ApostlesDrawsSwedru All Blacks
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-12Young Apostles1-0Swedru All BlacksGhana Premier League
2025-11-30Swedru All Blacks0-0Young ApostlesGhana Premier League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Young Apostles to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Young Apostles