Bechem United vs Vision Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Bechem United vs Vision: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Bechem United	Draw	Vision
Model	46%	29%	25%
Market	—	—	—
Published	46%	29%	25%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.99.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Bechem United and Vision expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.42Bechem United

0.99Vision

Total expected goals: 2.41
Attack rating (Bechem United / Vision): 1.14 / 1.17
Defence rating (Bechem United / Vision): 1.26 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bechem United vs Vision score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.3% 7.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 1 11.5% 13.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.6% 2 9.1% 9.0% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 3 4.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Bechem United goals. Columns: Vision goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bechem United vs Vision goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%

Over 1.5 71%

Over 2.5 43%

Over 3.5 22%

Both teams to score: 49%
No goals (0–0): 10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bechem United vs Vision

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Bechem United	46%	2.19
	Draw	29%	3.41
	Vision	25%	4.01
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	43%	2.32
	Under 2.5	57%	1.76
Both teams to score	Yes	49%	2.05
	No	51%	1.95
Double chance	1X (Bechem United or draw)	75%	1.33
	12 (either side)	71%	1.42
	X2 (draw or Vision)	54%	1.84
Handicap -1	Bechem United win by 2+	23%	4.37
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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