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Super League 2 · Matchday 8

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II

Alin prediction Anagennisi Karditsas to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Anagennisi KarditsasDrawPAOK II
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Anagennisi Karditsas is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Anagennisi Karditsas1.72 Draw3.50 PAOK II4.90

Price as of

Expected return at 1.72: -15.5% per unit staked

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II preview

Anagennisi Karditsas hosts PAOK II with 34% chances for each team to win, while a draw also stands at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, which has a 16% probability. Both teams have struggled to score, with expected goals of 0.98 for Anagennisi Karditsas and 0.92 for PAOK II.

The model indicates a 30% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score. Recent form shows Anagennisi Karditsas with two wins followed by a draw and two losses, while PAOK II has a mixed record with two wins and three losses. These factors could lead to a low-scoring match, making the predictions uncertain.

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAnagennisi KarditsasDrawPAOK II
Model34%34%31%
Market54%27%19%
Published49%29%22%
Edge-5%+2%+3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -15.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Anagennisi Karditsas, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-21.

Opened 1.67Now 1.69 +0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Anagennisi Karditsas1.671.69+0.02
Draw3.383.40+0.02
PAOK II4.744.74+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Anagennisi Karditsas and PAOK II expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.98Anagennisi Karditsas
0.92PAOK II
Total expected goals
1.91
Attack rating (Anagennisi Karditsas / PAOK II)
0.73 / 0.97
Defence rating (Anagennisi Karditsas / PAOK II)
1.02 / 1.03

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 16.2% 12.4% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 1 13.2% 14.8% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 2 7.2% 6.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3% 3 2.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Anagennisi Karditsas goals. Columns: PAOK II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 84%
Over 1.5 58%
Over 2.5 30%
Over 3.5 13%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
16%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Anagennisi Karditsas49%2.04
Draw29%3.49
PAOK II22%4.50
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530%3.35
Under 2.570%1.42
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.56
No61%1.64
Double chance1X (Anagennisi Karditsas or draw)78%1.29
12 (either side)71%1.40
X2 (draw or PAOK II)51%1.96
Handicap -1Anagennisi Karditsas win by 2+13%7.47
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Anagennisi Karditsas and PAOK II recent form

Anagennisi Karditsas 2W 1D 3L
PAOK II 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Anagennisi Karditsas at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
2 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

PAOK II away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Anagennisi Karditsas at home only, PAOK II away only.

Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Anagennisi Karditsas 2 · draws 0 · PAOK II 0.

Anagennisi KarditsasDrawsPAOK II
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-11-22Anagennisi Karditsas2-1PAOK IISuper League 2
2025-09-20PAOK II0-1Anagennisi KarditsasSuper League 2

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Anagennisi Karditsas to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Anagennisi Karditsas