Panthrakikos vs Asteras Tripolis II preview
In the match between Panthrakikos and Asteras Tripolis II, the 1X2 probabilities show Panthrakikos at 43%, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 15%. The expected goals for Panthrakikos is 1.30, while Asteras Tripolis II has an expected goals figure of 0.76.
While Panthrakikos appears to have the upper hand, the possibility of a draw at 30% could change the outcome. Additionally, both teams to score is at 40%, indicating that Asteras Tripolis II could find the net. The recent form of Panthrakikos shows some inconsistency with D-L-D-L-W-W, while Asteras Tripolis II has a mixed record of D-D-W-L-W-L.
Panthrakikos vs Asteras Tripolis II: model vs market
| Source | Panthrakikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 31% | 20% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Published | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.76.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.09, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Panthrakikos vs Asteras Tripolis II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Panthrakikos, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panthrakikos | 2.20 | 1.98 | -0.23 |
| Draw | 3.13 | 3.24 | +0.10 |
| Asteras Tripolis II | 3.04 | 3.52 | +0.48 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Panthrakikos and Asteras Tripolis II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.06
- Attack rating (Panthrakikos / Asteras Tripolis II)
- 0.95 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Panthrakikos / Asteras Tripolis II)
- 0.98 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panthrakikos vs Asteras Tripolis II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panthrakikos vs Asteras Tripolis II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panthrakikos vs Asteras Tripolis II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panthrakikos | 47% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Asteras Tripolis II | 24% | 4.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.51 |
| No | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panthrakikos or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Asteras Tripolis II) | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panthrakikos win by 2+ | 23% | 4.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panthrakikos and Asteras Tripolis II recent form
Panthrakikos
2W 2D 2L
Asteras Tripolis II
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panthrakikos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Asteras Tripolis II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panthrakikos at home only, Asteras Tripolis II away only.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Kallithea vs Larisa 2026-10-24
- Panserraikos v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-10-24
- Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Nestos Chrisoupolis — match page 2026-10-24
- Panionios vs Marko 2026-10-25
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Panthrakikos, previous: Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II: odds and pick
- Asteras Tripolis II, previous: Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos prediction