Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 preview
In the Super League 2 fixture, Zakynthos has a 44% chance of winning against Pyrgos 1968, who has a 26% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% probability. Zakynthos has struggled recently, with a record of D-L-D-L-L-L, while Pyrgos 1968 has a slightly better recent form of L-L-W-D-L-L.
The expected goals show Zakynthos at 0.96 and Pyrgos 1968 at 0.84, indicating a tight contest. Despite the low probability of Over 2.5 goals at 27% and both teams to score at 36%, the match could deviate from expectations if either team finds their scoring touch. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968: model vs market
| Source | Zakynthos | Draw | Pyrgos 1968 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 36% | 29% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Published | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Zakynthos, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zakynthos | 1.91 | 1.93 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.24 | 3.25 | +0.01 |
| Pyrgos 1968 | 3.62 | 3.61 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zakynthos and Pyrgos 1968 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.79
- Attack rating (Zakynthos / Pyrgos 1968)
- 0.72 / 0.59
- Defence rating (Zakynthos / Pyrgos 1968)
- 1.53 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zakynthos goals. Columns: Pyrgos 1968 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 36%
- No goals (0–0)
- 18%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zakynthos | 44% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Pyrgos 1968 | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27% | 3.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36% | 2.76 |
| No | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zakynthos or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Pyrgos 1968) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zakynthos win by 2+ | 14% | 7.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zakynthos and Pyrgos 1968 recent form
Zakynthos
0W 2D 4L
Pyrgos 1968
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zakynthos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Pyrgos 1968 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zakynthos at home only, Pyrgos 1968 away only.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Kallithea vs Larisa 2026-10-24
- Panserraikos v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-10-24
- Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Nestos Chrisoupolis — match page 2026-10-24
- Panionios vs Marko 2026-10-25
- Panthrakikos v Asteras Tripolis II — match page 2026-10-25
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Zakynthos, previous: Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos prediction
- Pyrgos 1968, previous: Pyrgos 1968 – Anagennisi Karditsas, 2026-10-18