Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos: model vs market
| Source | Apollon Pontou | Draw | Niki Volos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 36% | 26% |
| Market | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| Published | 19% | 25% | 56% |
| Edge | +6% | +4% | -10% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Niki Volos, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Pontou | 7.08 | 7.08 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.00 |
| Niki Volos | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Apollon Pontou and Niki Volos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.75
- Attack rating (Apollon Pontou / Niki Volos)
- 0.82 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Apollon Pontou / Niki Volos)
- 0.92 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Apollon Pontou goals. Columns: Niki Volos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apollon Pontou | 19% | 5.22 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 | |
| Niki Volos | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26% | 3.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.86 |
| No | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Apollon Pontou or draw) | 44% | 2.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Niki Volos) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | Niki Volos win by 2+ | 8% | 11.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Apollon Pontou and Niki Volos recent form
Apollon Pontou
2W 1D 3L
Niki Volos
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Apollon Pontou at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
Niki Volos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Apollon Pontou at home only, Niki Volos away only.
Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Apollon Pontou 0 · draws 2 · Niki Volos 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-21 | Niki Volos | 5-0 | Apollon Pontou | Super League 2 |
| 2023-10-22 | Apollon Pontou | 1-3 | Niki Volos | Super League 2 |
| 2023-04-10 | Apollon Pontou | 2-2 | Niki Volos | Super League 2 |
| 2022-11-27 | Niki Volos | 3-0 | Apollon Pontou | Super League 2 |
| 2022-02-20 | Niki Volos | 1-0 | Apollon Pontou | Super League 2 |
| 2021-11-21 | Apollon Pontou | 0-0 | Niki Volos | Super League 2 |
| 2014-01-27 | Apollon Pontou | 1-3 | Niki Volos | Football League |
| 2013-10-20 | Niki Volos | 4-0 | Apollon Pontou | Football League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Kallithea vs Larisa 2026-10-24
- Panserraikos v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-10-24
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Nestos Chrisoupolis — match page 2026-10-24
- Panionios vs Marko 2026-10-25
- Panthrakikos v Asteras Tripolis II — match page 2026-10-25
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Apollon Pontou, previous: PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou: odds and pick
- Niki Volos, previous: Niki Volos vs Panionios prediction
- Niki Volos, next: Panserraikos v Niki Volos analysis