Panionios vs Marko preview
In the Super League 2 fixture, Panionios has a 47% chance to win against Marko, who has a 22% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 17% probability. Panionios has expected goals of 1.02, while Marko's expected goals stand at 0.67.
Both teams to score has a 33% chance, but the low figure for Marko's expected goals suggests they may struggle to find the net. Recent form shows Panionios with two wins in their last five matches, while Marko has won four of their last six. A draw is also possible, with a 31% probability, which could change the expected outcome.
Panionios vs Marko: model vs market
| Source | Panionios | Draw | Marko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Published | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Edge | -2% | +2% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.67.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.94, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Panionios vs Marko odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Panionios, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios | 1.84 | 1.88 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 3.13 | 3.13 | +0.00 |
| Marko | 4.11 | 4.07 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Panionios and Marko expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.70
- Attack rating (Panionios / Marko)
- 1.03 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Panionios / Marko)
- 0.62 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panionios vs Marko score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Marko goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panionios vs Marko goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 20%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panionios vs Marko
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 47% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Marko | 22% | 4.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.13 |
| Under 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 3.06 |
| No | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panionios or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Marko) | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panionios win by 2+ | 17% | 5.87 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panionios and Marko recent form
Panionios
3W 2D 1L
Marko
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panionios at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Marko away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panionios at home only, Marko away only.
Panionios vs Marko head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Panionios 1 · draws 2 · Marko 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Marko | 2-1 | Panionios | Super League 2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Panionios | 0-0 | Marko | Super League 2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Panionios | 1-0 | Marko | Super League 2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Marko | 1-1 | Panionios | Super League 2 |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Kallithea vs Larisa 2026-10-24
- Panserraikos v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-10-24
- Apollon Pontou vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Nestos Chrisoupolis — match page 2026-10-24
- Panthrakikos v Asteras Tripolis II — match page 2026-10-25
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs PAOK II — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Panionios, previous: Niki Volos vs Panionios prediction
- Marko, previous: Marko v Ellas Syros analysis
- Marko, next: Marko – Olympiakos Piraeus, 2026-10-28