Updated

Super League 2 · Matchday 8

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Nestos Chrisoupolis

Alin prediction Olympiakos Piraeus II to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Olympiakos Piraeus IIDrawNestos Chrisoupolis
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Nestos Chrisoupolis preview

In the upcoming match between Olympiakos Piraeus II and Nestos Chrisoupolis, the model gives Olympiakos a 40% chance to win, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 10%. Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a slight chance that both sides may find the net, while Over 2.5 goals is projected at 45%, suggesting a lower likelihood of a high-scoring game.

Olympiakos Piraeus II has expected goals of 1.34, compared to Nestos Chrisoupolis's 1.14, which could influence the outcome. However, the recent form shows Olympiakos with a record of D-L-D-L-L-W, and Nestos Chrisoupolis at D-L-L-L-L-W, meaning either team could struggle to secure a win. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the predictions.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Nestos Chrisoupolis: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOlympiakos Piraeus IIDrawNestos Chrisoupolis
Model40%30%30%
Market———
Published40%30%30%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Olympiakos Piraeus II and Nestos Chrisoupolis expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.34Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.14Nestos Chrisoupolis
Total expected goals
2.47
Attack rating (Olympiakos Piraeus II / Nestos Chrisoupolis)
0.93 / 0.78
Defence rating (Olympiakos Piraeus II / Nestos Chrisoupolis)
1.55 / 1.10

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Nestos Chrisoupolis score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.7% 8.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.7% 1 10.0% 14.1% 7.3% 2.8% 1.0% 2 7.5% 8.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.7% 3 3.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 4+ 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus II goals. Columns: Nestos Chrisoupolis goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Nestos Chrisoupolis goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 45%
Over 3.5 24%
Both teams to score
51%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Nestos Chrisoupolis

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Olympiakos Piraeus II40%2.50
Draw30%3.38
Nestos Chrisoupolis30%3.29
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545%2.23
Under 2.555%1.81
Both teams to scoreYes51%1.95
No49%2.05
Double chance1X (Olympiakos Piraeus II or draw)70%1.44
12 (either side)70%1.42
X2 (draw or Nestos Chrisoupolis)60%1.67
Handicap -1Olympiakos Piraeus II win by 2+19%5.27
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Olympiakos Piraeus II and Nestos Chrisoupolis recent form

Olympiakos Piraeus II 1W 2D 3L
Nestos Chrisoupolis 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Olympiakos Piraeus II at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Nestos Chrisoupolis away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Olympiakos Piraeus II at home only, Nestos Chrisoupolis away only.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Olympiakos Piraeus II to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Olympiakos Piraeus II