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Super League 2 · Matchday 11

Marko vs Zakynthos

Alin prediction Marko to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

15% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
MarkoDrawZakynthos
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 0.55.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Marko is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Marko1.17 Draw6.60 Zakynthos19.75

Price as of

Expected return at 1.17: -6.7% per unit staked

Marko vs Zakynthos preview

In the Super League 2 fixture between Marko and Zakynthos, the 1X2 probabilities show Marko at 80% to win, while Zakynthos sits at just 6%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 15% chance of occurring. Marko's expected goals are 2.46 compared to Zakynthos's 0.55, indicating a strong attacking performance from Marko.

However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty. While the model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 58%, there is a 40% chance that both teams will score. If Zakynthos can improve their recent form, which includes six winless matches, they could challenge Marko's dominance.

Marko vs Zakynthos: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMarkoDrawZakynthos
Model79%15%6%
Market80%14%6%
Published80%14%6%
Edge0%0%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 0.55.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Marko vs Zakynthos odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Marko, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-10.

Opened 1.13Now 1.13 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Marko1.131.13+0.00
Draw5.756.40+0.65
Zakynthos14.5015.25+0.75

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Marko and Zakynthos expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.49Marko
0.55Zakynthos
Total expected goals
3.03
Attack rating (Marko / Zakynthos)
1.23 / 0.75
Defence rating (Marko / Zakynthos)
0.75 / 1.53

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Marko vs Zakynthos score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 1 11.3% 7.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 2 14.9% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 3 12.3% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 13.8% 7.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: Marko goals. Columns: Zakynthos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Marko vs Zakynthos goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 36%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Marko vs Zakynthos

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Marko80%1.25
Draw14%6.94
Zakynthos6%17.14
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558%1.71
Under 2.542%2.41
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.54
No61%1.65
Double chance1X (Marko or draw)94%1.06
12 (either side)86%1.17
X2 (draw or Zakynthos)20%4.94
Handicap -1Marko win by 2+58%1.74
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Marko and Zakynthos recent form

Marko 3W 2D 1L
Zakynthos 0W 3D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Marko at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Win rate
83%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
0.33
Clean sheets
4 of 6
  • They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Zakynthos away

Record (W-D-L)
0-3-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
0 of 6
  • They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Marko at home only, Zakynthos away only.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Marko to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Marko