Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 preview
Niki Volos faces Pyrgos 1968 with a 70% chance of winning compared to Pyrgos' 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, reflecting Niki Volos' expected goals of 1.92 against Pyrgos' 0.65. Niki Volos has been in strong form, winning 5 of their last 6 matches, while Pyrgos has struggled, with only 2 wins in their last 6.
However, the prediction could be challenged if Pyrgos manages to score, as both teams to score has a 42% probability. Additionally, while Over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, the match could end with fewer goals if Niki Volos' defense holds strong. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the forecast.
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968: model vs market
| Source | Niki Volos | Draw | Pyrgos 1968 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67% | 22% | 11% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| Published | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.65.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.30, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Niki Volos, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-10.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niki Volos | 1.23 | 1.26 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 4.72 | 4.75 | +0.03 |
| Pyrgos 1968 | 10.62 | 10.00 | -0.62 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Niki Volos and Pyrgos 1968 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Niki Volos / Pyrgos 1968)
- 1.13 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Niki Volos / Pyrgos 1968)
- 0.73 / 1.30
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Niki Volos goals. Columns: Pyrgos 1968 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niki Volos | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.03 | |
| Pyrgos 1968 | 9% | 10.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.40 |
| No | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Niki Volos or draw) | 91% | 1.10 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Pyrgos 1968) | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Niki Volos win by 2+ | 42% | 2.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Niki Volos and Pyrgos 1968 recent form
Niki Volos
5W 1D 0L
Pyrgos 1968
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Niki Volos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Pyrgos 1968 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Niki Volos at home only, Pyrgos 1968 away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Ellas Syros vs Panthrakikos 2026-11-14
- Panserraikos vs Anagennisi Karditsas — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Larisa v Nestos Chrisoupolis — match page 2026-11-14
- Asteras Tripolis II v PAOK II — match page 2026-11-14
- Apollon Pontou vs Kallithea 2026-11-15
- Marko vs Zakynthos — team news & stats 2026-11-16
- Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II 2026-11-16
Before and after this match
- Niki Volos, previous: Zakynthos v Niki Volos analysis
- Niki Volos, next: Niki Volos vs Marko prediction
- Pyrgos 1968, previous: Pyrgos 1968 – PAOK II, 2026-11-08